Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.499102 0.568139 0.642054 0.726939 0.821586 0.923723 1.042137
2025-08-17 0.386431 0.480215 0.588365 0.721711 0.881067 1.064732 1.291730
2025-08-24 0.308102 0.415711 0.548651 0.723528 0.945904 1.217482 1.572265
2025-08-31 0.245452 0.358271 0.507028 0.714863 0.994601 1.354537 1.848501
2025-09-07 0.204630 0.321376 0.484838 0.726058 1.067662 1.527913 2.187271
2025-09-14 0.167127 0.281874 0.452114 0.716749 1.109809 1.662458 2.485967
2025-09-21 0.142148 0.256195 0.434678 0.725571 1.176538 1.835087 2.850968
2025-09-28 0.117496 0.226255 0.405686 0.711949 1.206766 1.955953 3.150126
2025-10-05 0.105255 0.214856 0.404203 0.740539 1.303456 2.182221 3.621962
2025-10-12 0.094802 0.204624 0.402836 0.768356 1.400528 2.415646 4.121185
2025-10-19 0.082738 0.189053 0.389624 0.773642 1.459806 2.592674 4.543518
2025-10-26 0.072026 0.174080 0.375128 0.774301 1.510184 2.757695 4.956580
2025-11-02 0.062257 0.159371 0.359284 0.770971 1.553927 2.916412 5.373558
2025-11-09 0.054326 0.147111 0.346431 0.771552 1.604387 3.089943 5.827283
2025-11-16 0.047989 0.137225 0.336939 0.777366 1.664686 3.284543 6.329818
2025-11-23 0.041558 0.125739 0.322240 0.770578 1.699743 3.435904 6.765812
2025-11-30 0.037448 0.119259 0.317610 0.784113 1.775441 3.666055 7.356302
2025-12-07 0.032458 0.109312 0.303443 0.775135 1.804577 3.810866 7.799834
2025-12-14 0.029210 0.103494 0.298193 0.785220 1.873547 4.035458 8.403969
2025-12-21 0.025154 0.094326 0.283201 0.771007 1.889557 4.158001 8.822625
2025-12-28 0.023656 0.092686 0.287196 0.801935 2.005512 4.484745 9.650078
2026-01-04 0.022227 0.090953 0.290681 0.831943 2.121750 4.818941 10.509761
2026-01-11 0.020000 0.086008 0.284684 0.837721 2.183887 5.046658 11.172211